July 31, 2008

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CXW - Divergence between Price and Volume

CXW - Nyse.  Corrections Corp of America.  For the past year, CXW has formed a resistance with prices moving lower while the on-balance volume (OBV) indicator is rising.  Divergence between price and volume can give a clue to future price movement.   A breakout of this resistance could interest traders looking for a stock to hold for the long term.

 

July 24, 2008

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COT - Resistance and Rising Volume

COT - Nyse.  Cott Corp.  There’s a number of ways to make money in the stock market.  One is to buy cheap and sell dear.  If you’re going to buy cheap, make sure your stock has formed some sort of a bottom and is beginning to turn around, preferably attempting to break resistance of at least a few months.  Volume and on-balance volume must be rising to show that the buying pressure has resumed. 

COT would fit such a category.  Here we have a stock that’s been sold off from around $33 four years ago to below $2 after the final smash in late Feb 08.  Since March this year, we’ve had a large change in volume and OBV has been rising ever since.  A nice medium term resistance has also emerged.  A breakout of this resistance could interest traders looking to take profit around the 5.50 level. 

 

July 21, 2008

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EXAC - Darvas box trade

EXAC - Nasdaq.  Exactech Inc has formed a Darvas box at a brand new high following a large change in trading volume.  This stock is showing rising on-balance volume since the start of the year, which suggests accumulation.  A breakout of the top of the box would signal an entry into the stock.  A protective stoploss should be placed just under the 28.91 low, and trailed up as the trade unfolds.

July 15, 2008

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FLIR - Darvas Box trade

FLIR - Nasdaq.  FLIR Systems, Inc. has formed a Darvas box at a new all time high following a series of large volume expansions.  On-balance volume is rising and the recent volume change suggests something could be brewing.  A breakout into fresh highs would signal an entry into this stock.

 

July 9, 2008

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DR - Darvas Box trade

DR -NYSE.  Darwin Professional Underwriters Inc.  This stock has formed a Darvas Box in blue sky following a large expansion in volume and is beginning to trend.  Another example of a setup Nicolas Darvas discusses in his famous book, ‘How I Made 2 Million Dollars in the Stockmarket’.  On-Balance Volume (OBV) has been rising since the start of the year showing us that the buyers are in control of the stock.  A breakout into fresh new highs would no doubt signal an entry into DR.  Protective stops should be placed as the Darvas Method tells us, that is a tick or two under the $30.00 low.  Hold for upside on trailing stop.

 

July 9, 2008

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AZZ - Darvas Box

AZZ - Nyse.  AZZ Inc. has formed a Darvas Box at a new yearly high following a large volume expansion.  Since the sell-off in early April, OBV has been rising showing buyers interest in the stock.  A breakout of the top of the box would signal an entry into AZZ.  Following the Darvas Method, protective stops should be kept just under the 39.00 and raised accordingly once the trade moves into profit.  There’s a gap to fill around the $58 level so should be of interest to the short to medium term trader. 

July 3, 2008

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RAME - Darvas Box trade

RAME - Nasdaq.  RAM Energy Resources Inc. has formed a Darvas box at a new historic high following a couple of recent large volume expansions.  This is the classic pattern that Nicolas Darvas constantly looked for and eventually made his fortune with.  When trading the Darvas Method, we place a Buy Stop order with the broker to purchase the stock the moment it pushes through the top of the box, in this case 6.84.  Automatically upon being filled, a Stop Loss is entered a fraction below the bottom of the box to protect the position, here just under the 5.90 low.  This stop is then trailed upwards to lock in profits as the trade unfolds.

 

July 1, 2008

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APPX - Darvas Box

APPX - Nasdaq.  APP Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has formed a Darvas box at new yearly high.  On-Balance Volume (OBV) has been rising since the beginning of the year.  This suggests the stock is being accumulated.  A breakout of the top of the box ($17.00) would signal an entry into the stock.  When trading the Darvas Method, a stoploss should be automatically placed just under the bottom of the box, in this case, a tick or two under $15.50 to protect the position.